AtriCure [ATRC]
As of 2026-07-29. Every date is disclosed by the company. No readout date is inferred or fabricated.
| Date | Event | Why it matters | Confirms / refutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Around end-2026 ("late December or early January") | BoxX-NoAF full enrollment — 960 patients | Carrel, Q1 & Q2 2026: >500 enrolled at Q2 2026, past the 50% mark, "well ahead of our original plan" (~1 year early). Gates the readout. | The H1 2027 readout timing |
| H1 2027 | BoxX-NoAF DATA READOUT | The single most important dated event in the name. Carrel, Q2 2026 prepared remarks: "Based on our current trajectory, we are positioned for clinical trial data readouts in the first half of 2027." Primary endpoint is post-operative AF measured 30 days after the last patient is enrolled — the short endpoint is what makes the timeline credible. | The prophylactic-ablation market-expansion thesis; the Valuation Criteria's required 18.91% CAGR |
| 2026 (H2) | FDA IDE submission for a next device | Carrel, Q1 2026 Q&A: "submission to the FDA later on this year, acceptance of the IDE and then beginning to enroll as we kind of look into 2027." | Pipeline beyond the two landmark trials |
| 2027 | New product release | Carrel, Q4 2025 Q&A: "We have another new product slated for release in 2027." Product not named by the company; not named here. | Franchise refresh |
| 2027 | STS post-operative AF quality measure moves to enforcement | Carrel, Q1 2026 Q&A: "They anticipate rolling this out with more enforcement in 2027, at which point it will be measured and recorded in the STS database… We anticipate an uplift in adoption beginning in 2027 and continuing into 2028 and beyond, which should be a multi-year positive for the ablation side." Specifics "still being finalized by STS." | The ablation adoption ramp |
| 2027 (early) | Clinical trials begin on the next-generation programme discussed at the Analyst Day | Carrel, Q3 2025 Q&A: "the next step after that… is to go into clinical trials likely in the early part of 2027." | Long-dated pipeline |
| Q3 2026 (mid-Oct, not announced) | Q3 2026 earnings | First test of the raised FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guide ($85–89m) and of the guided back-half reimbursement pressure. | FY2026 guidance |
| Date | Move | Note |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-30 | −13.68% | |
| 2026-01-15 | +10.94% | |
| 2026-02-11 | −13.11% | |
| 2026-05 → 2026-07 | $27.70 → $40.89, +47.6% | Q2 2026 beat: revenue $153.6m, adjusted EBITDA $27.3m (+78%), GAAP net income $9m, FY26 adjusted EBITDA guide raised to $85–89m. This is the re-rating the 12-month target says has already happened. |