HIVE Digital Technologies [HIVE]
As of: 2026-07-29 · Framework: v1.5.1 / criteria.md 2026-07-29 · Type: MEASURED — dated events that would confirm or refute the implied path. Consumed by monitoring; blocks nothing.
Every date below is either taken from a filing or explicitly marked as an inference from filing history. Per the brief: a fabricated catalyst date is worse than an absent calendar. Nothing here is invented.
| Date | Event | Source | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | 12MW of temporary Boden power converts to permanent capacity | 10-K FY2026 | firms up 12MW of Swedish capacity — already passed |
| ~Aug 2026 (estimated from the 2025-08-19 prior-year filing cadence; NOT a company-confirmed date) | Q1 FY2027 results via 6-K (quarter ended 2026-06-30) | 6-K cadence | the single most important print: does HPC revenue break out of the $4.6–5.2m/quarter band toward the claimed $35m ARR, and does gross mining margin hold above 24%? |
| Calendar 2026 (no month given in the filing) | Yguazú substation upgrade completing the +100MW expansion to 400MW total Paraguayan capacity | 10-K FY2026, citing the 2025-10-20 announcement | the last cheap-power tranche |
| 2026-08-18 | Robertsfors sub-lease and original lease both terminate | 10-K FY2026 | exit completed |
| 2028 (protocol) | next bitcoin halving | Bitcoin protocol | block reward halves again against a gross mining margin already at 24% |
No other dated catalyst is asserted. HIVE files 6-Ks on an irregular cadence and the 10-K does not publish a forward calendar. Per the brief, a fabricated catalyst date is worse than an absent calendar — the August date above is explicitly marked as an inference from filing history, not a company confirmation.
| Date | Event | Why it matters to HIVE |
|---|---|---|
| 2028 (protocol-determined) | Bitcoin halving | halves the block reward on the mining leg. Not a forecast — it is in the protocol |
| continuous | Global network hashrate / difficulty | IREN's 10-Q quantifies the mechanism: its own hashrate rose to 36.0 EH/s and it still mined fewer bitcoin, because implied global hashrate rose faster. The denominator always grows |
| 2026-12-31 | CORZ's hosted-mining operations conclude | removes a competitor's hosted capacity from the market |
| Q3 2026 | WYFI's $865m Nscale contract reaches full revenue contribution | the cluster's cleanest read on realised contracted AI economics — a live benchmark for every claimed pipeline |